US-China Ocean Freight “Roller Coaster”: Data Insights & Strategies for Businesses

The US-China ocean freight market has been on a dramatic ride in 2025, with prices swinging up and down like a true roller coaster. For businesses involved in international trade, understanding these fluctuations and knowing how to respond is critical. As a professional freight forwarding company, we’ve analyzed the data and market trends to provide actionable insights.

1. Market Update: Policy-Driven Price Surge

From May to June 2025, the US implemented a 90-day tariff buffer. Anticipating potential price hikes, US buyers rushed to place orders, creating a surge in shipments. Ports and shipping lines quickly became overwhelmed, resulting in a “space shortage” and ocean freight prices skyrocketing—some major routes jumped 40%-60% in just weeks.

By late June, the market cooled down. Once backlogs cleared, new orders slowed, and carriers faced overcapacity. Prices dropped sharply, with some routes falling 30%-50%, forming a classic “fast up, fast down” pattern.

2. Data Analysis: Freight Rates & Capacity Trends

Based on public market data and our logistics experience:

Insight: Policy changes triggered price volatility, while lagging capacity adjustments intensified swings.

3. Impact on Businesses

Rising cost uncertainty: Companies struggle to predict shipping costs, complicating procurement and pricing strategies.

Supply chain risk: Businesses reliant on a single route or market are more exposed to policy shifts and price swings.

Delivery delays: Peak congestion periods at ports may delay shipments, affecting customer satisfaction.

4. Actionable Strategies

Secure long-term contracts: Lock in rates with carriers to mitigate short-term volatility.

Diversify markets: Explore Southeast Asia, Mexico, or South America to reduce policy and route dependency.

Flexible capacity planning: Book early, monitor port congestion, and adjust schedules to stay in control.

Data-driven monitoring: Use freight tracking and market analytics to optimize shipping and procurement decisions.

5. Why Partner with Us?

As a specialized US-China freight forwarding company, we provide:

Ocean freight booking (FCL & LCL)

Customs clearance & supply chain optimization

Data-driven insights & cost management strategies

Contact us today for a tailored shipping plan and rate forecast—keep your US-China trade steady and predictable.