📊 China–U.S. Shipping Trend Forecast (Aug–Nov 2025)

With the extension of the tariff truce, the China–U.S. shipping market is expected to follow these key trends over the next 90 days:

1. Peak Season Stocking Starts Early

Starting mid-August, many cross-border e-commerce sellers and B2B exporters will begin stocking up for Black Friday, Christmas, and year-end sales;

Demand for express ocean freight and air freight will rise rapidly, especially to West and Central U.S. fulfillment centers.

2. Air Freight Prices May Fluctuate

With loosened export restrictions on high-value tech goods (e.g., AI chips, precision electronics), air freight capacity may tighten by September;

For time-sensitive shipments, we recommend booking space early to avoid price surges.

3. Strong Growth in Express Sea Freight

Express services (approx. 12 days to U.S.) are increasingly favored by clients balancing speed and cost—ideal for FBA restocks and e-commerce bulky goods;

We suggest booking early to secure space and ensure timely delivery.

4. Ocean Freight Stable Short-Term, Possible Fluctuation After November

With tariff rates unchanged, both FCL and LCL ocean freight pricing remains stable for now;

However, if no new agreement is reached after November, rates could fluctuate again during the year-end period. Keep a close eye on policy developments.

📌 Recommendations:

For orders requiring delivery before October, start scheduling shipments now.

For peak season inventory, make your shipping decisions by August to stay ahead.

Contact us for customized “Air + Express Sea Freight” hybrid plans to balance delivery speed and shipping costs.